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Pandemic Influenza image

Pandemic Influenza Planning Scenarios

This Excel spreadsheet was developed to assist hospitals and communities in their pandemic influenza planning efforts. The predictions are based upon two types of scenarios:

  • A severe outbreak is modeled after the 1918-1919 Spanish Influenza pandemic.
  • A moderate outbreak is modeled after the milder 1957-58 and 1968-1969 pandemics.

It has been previously noted that influenza pandemics tend to come in two waves, the initial (larger) wave, and a second wave several months later. These scenarios break their predictions into the two waves as well as providing information by county.

The scenarios were developed using modeling software provided by the federal government.


To send comments or for help, send a message to the Pandemic Flu Specialist by clicking here.

01/17/2007